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Has the medical travel industry reached maturity?

Maturity

Scott Frankum from The Well Report and TheWellList.com believes health travel and medical tourism are reaching industry maturity. He proposes the concept of “Alpha healthcare”, a new industry term and applies Michael Porter's research on the “Structural Analysis of Industries” to show why market maturity may precipitate a sea change in medical travel.

 

 

 

Health Travel grows up

The health travel and medical tourism industry may be at a point of change; transitioning from a fragmented industry, driven by the energy of start-ups into formal growth and maturity.   This may seem self-evident or without consequence but the phenomenon of industry maturity may affect everyone in the business.  Industry structure is difficult to define in the early stages, but it can be analyzed through a field of study called the Structural Analysis of Industries, which can also underpin formal strategy studies.

You may not have heard of industry structure or competitive analysis but the study of these fields is as considered as the study of mathematics or economics.  Michael Porter1 invented the concept of the Structural Analysis of Industries; he is often referred to as the world’s leading expert on the competitive analysis of companies and countries2

Portersays, “Maturity may force companies to confront, often for the first time, the need to choose a strategy.  It becomes a matter of survival.”  Decisions made at maturity determine the working, competitive and profitability environments of industries and businesses for years to come.

 

“Signals of maturity” in the market

 

In Porter’s view, the indicator of industry maturation is when customers shift from deciding whether to purchase a product at all to establishing brand preferences and making choices among brands.  The corollary is that speaking to differently oriented buyers and addressing competitive shifts requires countries and providers to re-invent their organizations and to choose from among three generic strategies: cost, differentiation and niche / focus.

Maturation is characterized by these events:

  • A larger number of competitors.

  • Slower growth.

  • High fixed costs.

  • Low switching costs, (easy for customers to change allegiance).

  • Low levels of brand and product differentiation.

  • High strategic stakes.

  • Consolidation.

  • High exit barriers, (the cost of abandoning the business).

  • A diversity of rivals, (different cultures, histories and philosophies create market instability and higher rivalry).

  • Irrational reaction to price competition.

  • Resentment to changes in industry practices.

  • Overemphasis on “creative”, “new” products rather than improving and aggressively selling existing ones.

  • Clinging to “higher quality” as an excuse for not meeting the tactical marketing and pricing moves of competitors.

  • Eroding quality differentials.

 

Sound familiar?  It does to me, especially in light of two recent consolidation announcements:

  • Malaysia’s Khazanah Holdings bought the balance of Singapore’s Parkway (Hospital) Holdings that it did not already own, for US$2.6 billion to block India’s Fortis Healthcare.
  • This week, Fortis Global Healthcare bought Quality Health Care Asia of Hong Kong to improve Fortis’s reach and scale. 

 

A new term....”Alpha Healthcare”

In researching the Well Report, it seemed every country and hospital I contacted made similar marketing claims.  I knew there must be objective differences in care but ISQua “approved” accreditations were the only objective signifiers of high quality I could identify.  The sameness of marketing claims created triple negatives: confusion, disbelief and a pool of too many undifferentiated choices.

I needed a simple, clear, explainable term that:

  • Differentiates the best competitors.
  • Signals quality and desirability.
  • Defines a data set for industry structure and competitive analysis.

 

I coined the term “Alpha Healthcare” to embody differentiation, quality and the basic requirements American medical travellers have in transparent transactions.  I defined Alpha Healthcare out of a very simple methodology by combining anecdotal information from industry experts with the crucial factors that emerged from focus groups and customer surveys.

 

Defining an Alpha Hospital

Location:

  • Alpha Hospitals are healthcare providers in low-cost countries that have science and care delivery at parity with leading western hospitals.

Medicine:

  • Cultivate reputation, prestige, knowledge and expertise through exclusive, hard-to-attain affiliations and accreditations.
  • Work from internationally vetted medical guidelines.
  • Attract the most qualified doctors and have current medical equipment.

Structure:

  • Typically, are private hospitals with powerful ownership groups that engender academic, media, business and community support.
  • Have organized support from national, regional and local governments.
  • Are close enough to large population centers and transportation hubs to draw local, regional, neighbouring country and international patients.
  • Draw patients from their home country's top 10% of domestic income earners.
  • Leverage information technology to control costs, maintain safety and improve care.
  • Exhibit increasing transparency.
  • Have new physical facilities that enable best-practice medicine.

Marketing:

  • Are keenly aware of what is necessary to build sustainable competitive advantage in medical excellence, healthcare delivery and medical travel.
  • Create product offerings and marketing outreach to attract international patients.
  • Are prepared for medical travellers.

Value:

  • Are priced for their domestic markets.
  • Create superior value-for-money.
  • Have been building their offerings longer than new entrants have.
  • Are desirable places to go for medical care.

 

True Alpha Countries, Centers and Hospitals spend years building the attributes of competitive advantage that create value for medical travellers.  The Alpha terminology makes it easier to categorize and distinguish countries and healthcare providers that are building quality from those that are seeking a short term solution to filling empty beds

 

Maturity opportunities and frameworks for analysis

Let’s look at an example from the toolbox that becomes available at industry maturity.  I chose this example because any insurance company considering a health tourism option for where to send patients in Asia will (or should!) have created a diagram similar to this.   It is almost as powerful with public data as it would be with real market data.

 

[ Zoom ]
Alpha

The X-axis is the price of a business class hotel in 6 Asian Alpha Countries (a stand-in/indicator for procedure pricing).  The Y-axis is a measure of U. S. awareness of health travel in the 6 countries (a stand-in/indicator for brand awareness).  The size of the circle is the number of Alpha Hospitals each country has (an estimate of capacity). 

It isn’t apparent to me whether any Alpha Countries have declared their strategies.  Even so, this simple tool powers tactical moves that could improve positioning in regard to desirability as an insurance company partner.  India and Singapore could launch marketing / communications plans that trumpet their capacity to insurance companies.  Malaysia could launch a PR campaign aimed at brand awareness in the U. S.  Thailand could use the diagram as impetus for promotions that counteract changes in the Thai currency and value equation.  Korea could decide they need to add capacity to be competitive.  Taiwan could decide to stop a shotgun marketing approach and focus on Chinese language promotions because they don’t want to challenge India and Singapore directly.  This diagram gives a visual way to understand the industry effect of tactical moves.

Defining Alpha Healthcare powers industry analysis because it provides a language for differentiation, even where differentiation is not declared.

[ Zoom ]
Alpha

This is a diagram used often in structural analysis because it presents complex information simply and with clarity.  I use the same price of a business class hotel from the first graph as the Y-axis and differentiation as the x-axis. 

The diagram depicts three things:

1)      I’m mixing metaphors but I have included three well-know retailers in the graph to illustrate Porter’s three generic strategies: Price = Walmart.  Differentiation = Hermes.  Focus / Niche = Target.

2)      The marketing claims of Asian Alpha Countries are still so similar that I believe most customers can only perceive healthcare in these countries as undifferentiated.   Thus, price is the main variable between competitors which creates high rivalry and can create destructive head-to-head price competition.   This situation is called a price stack and it is not ideal.

3)    Because I believe we are at maturity, it follows that I believe countries and companies will begin to move toward differentiated positions soon.  If I’m right, competitors will move out of the price stack and begin to cluster around the differentiated line.

If we’re at industry maturity, and I believe we are there, big changes are coming.  Strategy is a pattern of actions.  Now is the time to start thinking about yours.

 

 

1 Porter, M. (1980).  Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors.  New York: Simon & Schuster.

2 Harvard University, (2008). Harvard Professor Michael Porter Honoured by U. S. Department of Commerce. Boston: Harvard University Press Release.

 

Profile of the author

Scott Frankum

Scott Frankum is an author, analyst, creative director and blogger with a Masters of Business Administration in Global Business. He authors The Well Report, a series of highly focused health travel guides and edits TheWellList.com, whichaims to be a high-trust, consumer destination for newcomers to Health Travel.  Frankum is a veteran of new ventures that magnify the value-add of creativity.

 

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Comments provided below do not represent the views of IMTJ. Comments will be published "as is" and will not be edited by IMTJ staff. IMTJ is hosting these comments, and is not  undertaking an editorial role in the content of these comments. However, it is editorial policy not to publish comments which have been submitted anonymously.

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Taras,

Apologies for late response. I'm glad the topic is conversational and thank you for the kind words.

1) I'm still struggling with where Medical Facilitation fits. The role is powerful in outbound traffic from the U. S. but I don't think it figures much in country strategy (idea at end). Although, even now I hear first-hand tales of top offshore hospitals lowering fee structures. Technology and awareness should also shift need. However, a smart new country entrant could leverage facilitator relationships / reimbursements as a great wedge or market entry strategy.

2) I think the mergers are motivated by normal merger drivers, in these cases to add value through the rationalization of duplicated functions. In the Malaysian case, the buyer is a quasi-government entity with lots of cash and Fortis didn't want to get into a bidding war or piss-off a neighboring government.

From the Malaysian side, I sense a national pride component together with the practical fact that Malaysia already serves some of Singapore's national health insurance customers and probably wanted to deepen those opportunities. I also sense a pure strategy block to India which has lower prices and higher capacity than Malaysia.

On the Hong Kong merger, I see India leveraging a high-trust export (Indian doctors) and making a positioning move to serve China's upper and middle class. I lived in China for a year and there are long memories of inferior substitutes and melamine-laced milk. Non-Chinese companies are perceived as being more trustworthy.

3) In my mind, the customer side is definitely at different places with the U. S. being the lagging adopter, (counter-intuitively). I see the customer side needing tons of segmentation research but as separate from pure industry analysis.

Just a note, to me the reason dentistry and plastic surgeries are different is because they are advertised. Advertising creates at least some transparency or signals minimum service levels

Scott Frankum (18/12/2010 22:16:02)

Scott, as a strategy lover myself, I truly enjoyed reading your analysis of the medical tourism industry. I think you have put a lot of thought into your work and your rationale sounds sound. I have a few questions though. First, when I read your analysis it appeared to me that you centered medical tourism industry around the hospitals (medical services providers). Just like you did, I would categorize hospitals as Suppliers. How do medical tourism facilitators fit into this analysis? You alluded to a few mergers. Do you think those mergers were driven by medical tourism or by local forces? Personally, I think the hospitals/clinics supplier market is still enormously fragmented. If you think about all the dental clinics and plastic surgery practices, there is nothing to indicate that the industry is consolidating. Perhaps we should further segment the medical tourism market. Market forces for orthopedic work and cardiovascular surgeries may be quite different from those for dental work. This is just a thought. Lastly, do you think different markets may be at different stages of the industry life cycle? That's why I think that hospitals are merely suppliers and we need to take a look at individual markets where the buyers are.

Scott, I think you have done a great job. The analysis is much needed and definitely thought provoking as many players in the U.S. are trying to ponder the future of the industry in this country.

Taras Kuzin (03/12/2010 06:23:51)

I do agree that the industry has reached market maturity but not necessary for the reasons that you have stated, although you make a compelling case. It is important to note that the industry reached market maturity between the years 1998-2001 in terms of patient numbers and there is substantial data to support this position. There is some incremental growth for a few markets but in line with capturing share within a mature market environment. However, in general, there are no more large patient flow movements due to the overall development of the global hospital market (i.e. the majority of people no longer need to travel abroad for care). So, even if these countries have a differentiated marketing strategy (and they do need one regardless) they still would not succeed in achieving any real large growth patterns. For example, Fortis can only grow now via an acquisition strategy (a clear sign of a very mature market). And, if you look around, you will also see a collapsing of markets in Asia and other places quite profound, Singapore being one such example.

Mahatma Davis (16/10/2010 19:40:32)

Scott Frankum's article has come as a breath of fresh air - to counter the noise and nonsense "out there".
The fact that he cites Michael Porter (who has guided some of my health sector "thinking and doing" - including that on clusters and clustering) makes him even more endearing.
I also liked Scott's reference to industry fragmentation (which I hold responsible for inefficiency and non-competitiveness). Many are sick of my insistence on the need for integration - and the implementation of Industry Shaping projects (see our Health Tourism Pentad).
Of course, with integration and efficiency comes maturation.
And one more manifestation of industry maturity is that of Mergers and acquisitions - consolidation (which are seeing happening).
We share the view that Medical Tourism (the "abroad" version) has matured, is at a crossroads and faces serious dilemmas.
In my various more recent writings, I refer to such "industry maturation" manifestations as the West's Revenge, Consumer Dilemmas, Slowing Growth and providers being deluded by the purported size of the market - whilst disregarding the size - and continuing growth of the industry.
My caveats have included an imminent "shake out".
I have been criticized for heckling those consultants, pundits and gurus who are still predicting explosive growth for the "abroad" version of Medical Tourism (which as we are seeing, is increasingly having to compete with the "Internal" version).
Scott talks about "Mature industries moving out of the price stack and begin to cluster around the differentiated line".
I too have dispaired at the commoditization and sameness of the industry, which motivated me to launch our Health Tourism Innovation site.
Commoditization even characterizes the message (top quality and standards, latest technology, USA-trained Doctors, bottom prices, no waiting).
Quality and Standards (and even "Best Practices") are today, taken as a given. What is your "The Deal Clincher"?
As C. K. Prahalad kept

Constantine Constantinides (15/10/2010 19:16:01)